SAG Nominations!

I haven’t posted in a while, but here are today’s Screen Actors Guild nominees fresh from the live announcement on TNT.

As always there were a couple surprises, but this set of nominations is definitely showing how things are trending in the big race.

In the Best Actor race, we have three locks: Colin Firth, James Franco, and Jesse Eisenberg. But it seems those last two spots are the most malleable in the race. Bridges and Duvall got the push today, but Gosling and Wahlberg gathered steam yesterday with the Globes. Robert Duvall fills the veteran actor slot, is well loved, and was an early critics favorite, so I think the Globes was just a minor speedbump. I know voters don’t really think this way, but since Bridges is on the bubble and won the Oscar last year, I’d think that they will ignore him for either Wahlberg or Gosling. I feel there are already enough critics favorites, so I’m guessing Wahlberg is going to fill the populist spot.

For Best Actress we have four definite locks: Bening, Lawrence, Kidman, and Portman. And I don’t think Michelle Williams is that far behind. Hilary Swank is only sweeping in to terrorize Annette Bening yet again, but she’s had no other traction in a dying film. Lesley Manville and Halle Berry also really don’t have enough steam, so I think the Best Actress race is dunzo.

Supporting Actor is easily my favorite category today and has been shaken up a lot with the last few announcements. I think we only have two super locks (Bale and Rush) who are duking it out to win in the end. But the other three spots feel kind of in flux between four men. Mark Ruffalo hasn’t really missed any of the major things, but he hasn’t had the same critical push as some of the others. Jeremy Renner had some fringe critics votes, but was considered a dark horse until BOOM surprise Globe and SAG nominations. I bet he will fizzle a little now, but probably only into 5th place.

The real story although is John Hawkes nabbing a nomination. About four months ago Hawkes was the guy who gave a great performance that everyone loved and thought would go overlooked by everyone. But SAG gave the nomination to him over Andrew Garfield. Now I don’t think Andrew Garfield is out of the race, but Hawkes is gathering steam and that’s dangerous right about now. The question is: Whose spot could John Hawkes take? Mark Ruffalo’s, Jeremy Renner’s, or Andrew Garfield’s? I love all of their performances so much so I’m scared to give my own opinion.

Instead I’ll just retreat to a category where today’s upset makes me thrilled: Supporting Actress. For a while we had a giant sea of nothingness. But recently Melissa Leo, Helena Bonham Carter, and Amy Adams as locks. And I thought Jacki Weaver was looking good too, but NO. She missed this crucial step with Hailee Steinfeld and Mila Kunis picking up the slack. These three ladies will battle it out for those last two spots and I’ll be honest, I hope Weaver misses. I thought her performance was good, but nothing extraordinary. Maybe I just don’t get it, but I’m so happy for Mila Kunis.

Oh, and Best ensemble doesn’t matter at all. It did when there were 5 but now all of those films were guaranteed nominations.

And it’s a little early to be talking about any TV nominations, but I’ll post them any way and mourn the typical exclusion of Courteney Cox.

Today’s SAG nominations are below. Enjoy.

Leading Actor in a Motion Picture
Jeff Bridges – “True Grit”
Robert Duvall – “Get Low”
Jesse Eisenberg – “The Social Network”
Colin Firth – “The King’s Speech”
James Franco – “127 Hours”

Leading Actress in a Motion Picture
Annette Bening – “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman – “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence – “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman – “Black Swan”
Hilary Swank – “Conviction”

Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Christian Bale – “The Fighter
John Hawkes – “Winter’s Bone”
Jeremy Renner – “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo – “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush – “The King’s Speech”

Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Amy Adams – “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter – “The King’s Speech”
Mila Kunis – “Black Swan”
Melissa Leo – “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld – “True Grit”

Ensemble in a Motion Picture
“Black Swan”
“The Fighter”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“The King’s Speech”
“The Social Network”

Actor in a Drama Series
Steve Buscemi – “Boardwalk Empire”
Bryan Cranston – “Breaking Bad”
Michael C. Hall – “Dexter”
Jon Hamm – “Mad Men”
Hugh Laurie – “House

Actress in a Drama Series
Glenn Close – “Damages”
Mariska Hargitay – “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit”
Julianna Margulies – “The Good Wife”
Elizabeth Moss – “Mad Men”
Kyra Sedgwick – “The Closer”

Ensemble in a Drama Series
“Boardwalk Empire”
“The Closer”
“Dexter”
“The Good Wife”
“Mad Men”

Actor in a Comedy Series
Alec Baldwin – “30 Rock”
Ty Burrell – “Modern Family”
Steve Carell – “The Office”
Chris Colfer – “Glee”
Ed O’Neill – “Modern Family”

Actress in a Comedy Series
Edie Falco – “Nurse Jackie”
Tina Fey – “30 Rock”
Jane Lynch – “Glee”
Sofia Vergara – “Modern Family”
Betty White – “Hot in Cleveland”

Ensemble in a Comedy Series
“30 Rock”
“Glee”
“Hot in Cleveland”
“Modern Family”
“The Office”

Actor in a Miniseries/Television Movie
John Goodman – “You Don’t Know Jack”
Al Pacino – “You Don’t Know Jack”
Dennis Quaid – “The Special Relationship”
Edgar Ramirez – “Carlos”
Patrick Stewart – “Macbeth”

Actress in a Miniseries/Television Movie
Claire Danes – “Temple Grandin”
Catherine O’Hara – “Temple Grandin”
Julia Ormond – “Temple Grandin”
Winona Ryder – “When Love Is Not Enough”
Susan Sarandon – “You Don’t Know Jack”

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