Early You Say? Nonsense!

Even though the 84th Annual Oscars are still less than a week old and we are still trying to re-align our brains to memorize that Meryl Streep now has 3 Oscars (!!!), it is time to try and predict the 2013 85th Academy Awards. Next year, we have a hundred or so big name fancy pants movies coming out with big directors and even bigger expectations. Obviously, some will succeed and some will fail, but the question is which. I’ll give a little bit of analysis at the end just to point out why I made some of the choices I did, but let’s face it, many of them are uncreative but I picked my favorites and I’ll stick to it!

Picture:

  • Anna Karenina
  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • Django Unchained
  • The Great Gatsby
  • The Master
  • 6. The Hobbit
  • 7. Les Misérables
  • 8. The Surrogate
  • 9. Lincoln
  • 10. The Hunger Games

I ranked my Best Picture nominees as a top 5 without ranking, and then the next five with a ranking in case the rules change again in a year, and lets’ be real. I hope they do.

Director

  • Paul Thomas Anderson – The Master
  • Baz Luhrmann – The Great Gatsby
  • Christopher Nolan – The Dark Knight Rises
  • Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
  • Joe Wright – Anna Karenina

Actor

  • Leonardo DiCaprio – The Great Gatsby
  • John Hawkes – The Surrogate
  • Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
  • Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables
  • Daniel Day Lewis – Lincoln
What a fun race would this be! I can already hear a DiCaprio backlash.

Actress:

  • Amy Adams – Trouble with the Curve
  • Keira Knightley – Anna Karenina
  • Jennifer Lawrence – The Hunger Games
  • Laura Linney – Hyde Park on Hudson
  • Michelle Williams – Take This Waltz

This was my absolute most difficult category to find contenders – because there aren’t big hyped up female performances until the festivals start to galvanize – but I’m happy with these choices.

Supporting Actor:

  • Tom Cruise – Rock of Ages
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained
  • Jude Law – Anna Karenina
  • Gary Oldman – The Wettest County
  • Eddie Redmayne – Les Misérables

Supporting Actress:

  • Amy Adams – The Master
  • Sally Field – Lincoln
  • Carey Mulligan – The Great Gatsby
  • Michelle Pfeiffer – Dark Shadows
  • Olivia Williams – Hyde Park on Hudson

Adapted Screenplay

  • Anna Karenina
  • Argo
  • Cogan’s Trade
  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • The Great Gatsby

Original Screenplay

  • Django Unchained
  • Gravity
  • The Master
  • The Surrogate
  • Take This Waltz

Art Direction

  • Anna Karenina
  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • Dark Shadows
  • The Great Gatsby
  • The Hobbit

Cinematography

  • Anna Karenina – Seamus McGarvey
  • The Dark Knight Rises – Wally Pfister
  • Django Unchained – Robert Richardson
  • The Great Gatsby – Simon Duggan
  • Skyfall – Roger Deakins

Costume Design

  • Anna Karenina
  • Dark Shadows
  • The Great Gatsby
  • Hyde Park on Hudson
  • The Hunger Games

Film Editing

  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • Django Unchained
  • The Hunger Games
  • The Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Movie
  • World War Z

Makeup

  • The Hobbit
  • Lincoln
  • World War Z

Original Score

  • Anna Karenina – Dario Marianelli
  • The Dark Knight Rises – Hans Zimmer
  • Dark Shadows – Danny Elfman
  • The Hobbit – Howard Shore
  • On the Road – Gustavo Santaolalla

Original Song

  • Something from Brave
  • Something from The Hunger Games
  • Something from Les Miserables
  • Something from Frankenweenie
  • Something from Rock of Ages

Sound Editing

  • The Avengers
  • Brave
  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • Prometheus
  • World War Z

Sound Mixing

  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • Django Unchained
  • The Hobbit
  • Les Miserables
  • Prometheus

Visual Effects:

  • The Avengers
  • Cloud Atlas
  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • The Hobbit
  • Prometheus

So that’s it. I’m on the record. Here are a few extra thoughts:

  • I think Anna Karenina has so much pedigree it will definitely be in the mix somewhere.
  • The Great Gatsby is the biggest wild card, but I trust Carey Mulligan’s judgment. Is that weird?
  • When Ben Affleck directs a movie, someone gets a supporting nomination. Having not read the script, I went for a Writing nomination instead since Affleck is a previous winner in that category.
  • The Dark Knight Rises will do really well, and then lose best picture and people will gripe. I’m already over it.
  • I want Cogan’s Trade to be so good it hurts. I restrained and only gave it screenplay.
  • Dark Shadows is just begging for and Art Direction Oscar.
  • Since this is just the first of two Hobbit movies, I think a lot of the love will be saved for the second one. The first will just get a few technicals.
  • Umm Olivia Williams is playing Eleanor Roosevelt? Yes, please.
  • The Hunger Games just might show up. Get ready.
  • I’m assuming Lincoln is going to be the J. Edgar of this year, but with Spielberg, it’ll sneak through. And obviously Sally Field is in. The Academy loves Sally Field.
  • I also didn’t know who would break through from Wettest County and I still don’t.
  • I have Amy Adams and Leonardo DiCaprio as double nominees. I really do believe one of them could do it, and Amy Adams needs to clinch that win now before she just becomes another Julianne Moore.
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2 Comments to “Early You Say? Nonsense!”

  1. Brave. Most of them are probably spot on. I still think though that we should look back to such films as ‘A Dangerous Method’ and ‘J.Edgar’ and not overate ‘Anna Karenina’ and ‘Great Gatsby’. I hope that they are going to be absolutely amazing films, deserving numerous Oscars, but sadly that is exactly what I thought when I first saw ‘A Dangerous Method’ trailer (

  2. Of course, although “A Dangerous Method” was from David Cronenberg, who makes Academy unfriendly movies that rarely get nominated at all. “Anna Karenina” and “The Great Gatsby” are both by directors who have had large success with the Academy before. Also large failures, but I think things just seem right this time around for these two.

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